MIAMI, Florida (AP) — The 2006 Atlantic hurricane season should be slightly less active than originally predicted, but still above long-term averages, federal forecasters said Tuesday as they warned coastal residents not to let their guard down.

Forecasters now expect there to be 12-15 named storms and seven to nine hurricanes, three to four of which could be major hurricanes with sustained winds of at least 111 miles per hour (179 kilometers per hour), the National Hurricane Center and other National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration agencies said.

Government scientists made their first prediction in May, saying the season could produce 13-16 named storms, and eight to 10 hurricanes, four to six of which could become major.

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Of course, it only takes one to do some serious damage . . .